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Red150
291421.5
349728.8
415340.8
Blue65
24541.0
530422.5
485324.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5080010015020025030015065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#10
40.87.9
21.129.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
245
#21
41.00.8
48.547.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3497
#22
28.87.9
15.523.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
4853
#36
24.30.8
12.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2914
#27
21.57.9
18.226.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
5304
#33
22.59.3
22.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End