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Red15
530111.6
457011.5
116426.9
Blue51
530232.8
265729.3
469433.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060801001201551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.92.3
17.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
4694
#11
33.30.6
13.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5301
#41
11.60.2
11.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.2
5302
#14
32.818.2
32.814.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4570
#40
11.52.3
10.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
29.30.6
16.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End