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Red133
362629.8
479816.4
504724.1
Blue101
42063.7
457011.5
406327.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6326050100150200133101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.85.0
25.230.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4063
#15
27.73.4
22.125.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5047
#24
24.15.0
18.623.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
4570
#40
11.54.6
7.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4798
#38
16.45.0
13.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
4206
#42
3.74.6
2.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End