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Red27
261329.7
291421.5
530111.6
Blue135
430116.9
532018.5
246857.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627805010015020025027135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2613
#16
29.72.5
30.728.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.0
57.73.0
50.653.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2914
#27
21.52.5
22.319.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
5320
#28
18.53.9
14.118.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5301
#41
11.62.5
11.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
4301
#18
16.93.9
11.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End