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Red263
384742.9
258750.5
999726.1
Blue76
399128.3
99987.0
505218.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions982205015020025030035026376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
Unranked
50.58.8
40.249.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
3991
Unranked
28.32.1
20.923.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3847
Unranked
42.98.8
32.541.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.8
5052
Unranked
18.12.1
9.912.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9997
Unranked
26.114.4
14.328.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
9998
Unranked
7.03.3
3.16.4
Auto
Teleop
End