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Red16
295018.4
28819.5
215846.1
Blue85
70448.5
42069.3
999519.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88730501502002503003504001685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
Unranked
46.13.5
38.835.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
704
Unranked
48.50.5
48.549.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2950
Unranked
18.43.5
33.730.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
9995
Unranked
19.85.0
19.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2881
Unranked
9.53.5
12.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
4206
Unranked
9.30.5
12.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End