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Red1
62484.7
384732.5
50700.9
Blue0
258740.2
333532.6
258515.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16181020030040010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
84.72.5
96.594.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 44.5
2587
Unranked
40.21.6
41.740.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3847
Unranked
32.52.5
44.441.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3335
Unranked
32.61.6
34.232.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5070
Unranked
0.92.5
7.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
2585
Unranked
15.61.6
17.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End