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Red1
14872.8
27890.8
39999.6
Blue0
11885.5
288112.9
420612.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9212105015020025030035010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
72.81.6
77.876.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
118
Unranked
85.51.9
87.485.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3999
Unranked
9.61.6
12.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2881
Unranked
12.91.9
14.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2789
Unranked
0.81.6
5.84.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
4206
Unranked
12.61.9
14.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End