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Red73
45731.9
258736.3
46396.9
Blue86
541414.3
347842.7
333535.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818002040601001201401607386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
Unranked
36.30.4
37.236.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
3478
Unranked
42.70.2
37.637.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
457
Unranked
31.90.4
34.734.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
3335
Unranked
35.50.2
29.930.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4639
Unranked
6.90.4
8.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
5414
Unranked
14.30.2
13.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End