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Red136
208011.4
246849.6
461017.8
Blue66
432828.1
999714.3
62469.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7312905010015020025030035013666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
Unranked
49.62.7
53.556.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.4
624
Unranked
69.02.7
71.368.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4610
Unranked
17.82.7
14.817.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
4328
Unranked
28.12.7
35.432.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2080
Unranked
11.42.7
13.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
9997
Unranked
14.33.3
13.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End