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Red140
11888.5
347842.7
86429.0
Blue82
546925.8
215840.3
208011.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15955010020025030035014082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
88.50.1
91.190.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 48.1
2158
Unranked
40.30.6
39.540.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3478
Unranked
42.70.1
41.541.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
5469
Unranked
25.81.0
22.723.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
8642
Unranked
9.00.2
10.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2080
Unranked
11.40.6
8.28.8
Auto
Teleop
End