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Red121
420613.5
45731.9
541414.3
Blue131
25859.8
310332.6
62469.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401200100150200250300121131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
Unranked
31.93.4
29.633.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.1
624
Unranked
69.01.2
68.870.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5414
Unranked
14.33.4
12.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.3
3103
Unranked
32.61.2
30.231.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4206
Unranked
13.53.4
10.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2585
Unranked
9.81.2
8.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End