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Red205
77419.9
162585.7
384754.3
Blue41
258736.3
999714.3
399917.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13660010020025030035020541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
Unranked
85.74.0
75.779.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 49.4
2587
Unranked
36.31.5
39.437.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3847
Unranked
54.34.0
44.348.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.2
3999
Unranked
17.11.5
19.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
7741
Unranked
9.96.7
4.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
9997
Unranked
14.31.5
12.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End