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Red40
348129.6
45736.2
272117.6
Blue186
258747.4
300546.8
384754.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72131010020030040040186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
Unranked
36.22.1
35.033.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
3847
Unranked
54.03.2
41.544.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3481
Unranked
29.62.1
30.428.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
2587
Unranked
47.43.2
43.146.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2721
Unranked
17.62.1
15.613.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.2
3005
Unranked
46.83.2
37.540.7
Auto
Teleop
End