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Red161
331063.5
295035.4
129647.9
Blue101
288118.8
181768.4
433511.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11575050150200250300350161101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
Unranked
63.52.6
48.250.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1817
Unranked
68.41.0
60.261.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1296
Unranked
47.92.6
32.435.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.0
2881
Unranked
18.81.0
9.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2950
Unranked
35.42.6
28.130.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.1
4335
Unranked
11.31.0
11.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End