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Red152
215839.7
310329.5
384754.0
Blue151
258335.9
348129.6
246858.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118117406080100140160180200152151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
Unranked
54.01.8
45.747.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
2468
Unranked
58.31.6
52.754.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2158
Unranked
39.71.8
37.439.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2583
Unranked
35.91.6
38.339.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3103
Unranked
29.51.8
32.934.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3481
Unranked
29.61.6
28.630.2
Auto
Teleop
End