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Red149
458748.8
295035.4
300546.8
Blue141
505225.3
181768.4
384754.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971470200300400500149141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
48.82.2
34.536.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.6
1817
Unranked
68.40.1
66.666.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3005
Unranked
46.82.2
39.341.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
3847
Unranked
54.00.1
47.547.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2950
Unranked
35.42.2
30.732.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
5052
Unranked
25.30.1
25.125.2
Auto
Teleop
End