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Red391
147782.3
406349.5
458748.8
Blue51
280520.9
384754.0
433511.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1566805010020025030035039151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
Unranked
82.312.4
67.780.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.3
3847
Unranked
54.01.5
47.646.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4063
Unranked
49.512.4
37.850.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.6
2805
Unranked
20.91.5
20.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4587
Unranked
48.812.4
36.849.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.5
4335
Unranked
11.31.5
13.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End