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Red135
284853.3
295035.4
999918.2
Blue145
272117.6
129647.9
399725.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9484050150200135145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
Unranked
53.32.1
43.745.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1296
Unranked
47.93.0
43.446.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2950
Unranked
35.42.1
32.935.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
3997
Unranked
25.43.0
28.731.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9999
Unranked
18.22.1
16.118.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2721
Unranked
17.63.0
13.616.6
Auto
Teleop
End