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Red155
147782.3
399725.4
331063.5
Blue107
272117.6
284853.3
215839.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185870300400500155107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
Unranked
82.30.8
81.180.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.0
2848
Unranked
53.30.2
49.449.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3310
Unranked
63.50.8
60.659.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.8
2158
Unranked
39.70.2
35.435.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3997
Unranked
25.40.8
28.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
2721
Unranked
17.60.2
17.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End