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Red116
300546.8
406349.5
505225.3
Blue56
541410.5
999918.2
310329.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13449010020030040011656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
Unranked
49.50.3
51.951.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
3103
Unranked
29.50.3
32.732.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3005
Unranked
46.80.3
42.942.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.6
9999
Unranked
18.20.3
18.518.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5052
Unranked
25.30.3
26.526.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
5414
Unranked
10.50.3
10.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End