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Red28
356121.9
272111.2
505213.8
Blue26
498110.5
43782.0
164213.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060801001202826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#23
21.91.1
11.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
1642
#62
13.81.5
15.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5052
#16
13.80.3
12.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
4981
#55
10.51.9
10.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2721
#37
11.21.1
15.614.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
4378
#44
2.01.5
15.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End