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Red0
433211.3
459712.1
5716.8
Blue70
238623.8
333530.0
32409.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64610204080100120140070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57
#34
16.85.2
27.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
3335
#17
30.00.6
19.319.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4597
#33
12.15.2
20.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
2386
#22
23.80.6
26.126.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4332
#51
11.35.2
15.19.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3240
#41
9.00.6
17.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End