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Red40
323038.5
42685.0
417524.3
Blue17
264324.2
141025.7
248415.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567101001502004017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.5
28.026.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
1410
#10
25.74.3
29.124.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4175
#26
24.31.5
14.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2643
#34
24.22.6
26.223.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4268
#41
5.01.5
15.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
2484
#17
15.74.3
13.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End