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Qual 152014 Utah Regional
Red16
515921.4
189122.3
417814.3
Blue7
259416.5
53457.3
50719.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47370100150200167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#25
22.32.4
18.5→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
2594
#29
16.52.6
13.3→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5159
#36
21.42.4
12.9→10.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.1
5071
#31
9.42.6
14.6→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4178
#44
14.32.4
13.8→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.0
5345
#40
7.32.6
10.7→8.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—