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Red136
433439.2
333424.4
324530.8
Blue103
300617.3
156946.3
259416.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9160050150200136103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#14
39.24.1
38.842.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
46.33.2
38.241.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3245
#11
30.84.1
32.136.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
3006
#32
17.33.2
16.319.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
24.44.1
15.719.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
2594
#29
16.53.2
10.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End