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Red52
325121.1
324122.8
299330.5
Blue25
53457.3
264324.2
417524.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634101001502002505225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.6
37.637.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
4175
#26
24.31.6
12.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3241
#16
22.80.6
12.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2643
#34
24.21.0
23.722.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3251
#39
21.10.6
9.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
5345
#40
7.31.6
8.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End