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Red155
212262.9
328923.2
515921.4
Blue49
6984.4
417524.3
324530.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10052015020015549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.93.8
53.757.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.1
3245
#11
30.80.7
33.332.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3289
#19
23.23.8
19.923.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
4175
#26
24.30.7
23.022.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5159
#36
21.44.2
19.023.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
698
#43
4.40.7
3.62.9
Auto
Teleop
End