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Red176
459821.2
156632.8
366939.2
Blue62
410613.0
325121.1
133923.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8656010015020017662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#35
39.26.3
32.138.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
1339
#33
23.20.1
23.423.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1566
#20
32.85.8
30.035.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
3251
#39
21.10.1
22.822.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4598
#24
21.25.8
18.924.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
4106
#48
13.00.1
14.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End