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Red135
189122.3
141025.7
433439.2
Blue125
366939.2
42517.7
299641.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80824060100120135125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#14
39.23.0
37.040.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2996
#23
41.22.4
37.940.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1410
#10
25.73.0
24.427.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
3669
#35
39.22.7
38.541.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1891
#25
22.33.0
19.322.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
4251
#46
7.72.4
5.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End