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Red43
170029.5
534613.8
515921.4
Blue88
324313.3
417524.3
431020.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754801001502004388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#18
29.51.5
31.930.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
4175
#26
24.32.0
22.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5159
#36
21.41.7
23.121.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
4310
#22
20.52.0
18.520.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5346
#37
13.81.7
15.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3243
#12
13.32.0
11.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End