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Quarterfinal 3-12014 Virginia Regional
Red206
238340.8
43537.7
141863.3
Blue160
34643.0
159830.7
54029.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14290050200250300206160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#2
63.31.6
60.2→61.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.3
346
#22
43.01.0
41.6→42.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2383
#14
40.81.2
38.5→39.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.1
1598
#11
30.71.4
28.8→30.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
435
#24
37.71.2
35.3→36.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.1
540
#30
29.61.5
27.5→29.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—