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Quarterfinal 3-22014 Virginia Regional
Red161
238340.8
141863.3
43537.7
Blue124
54029.6
34643.0
159830.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14694050200250300161124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#2
63.30.5
61.8→62.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.3
346
#22
43.00.4
42.6→43.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2383
#14
40.80.4
39.7→40.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.1
1598
#11
30.70.5
30.2→30.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
435
#24
37.70.4
36.5→36.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.1
540
#30
29.60.5
29.0→29.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—