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Quarterfinal 4-12014 Virginia Regional
Red156
236352.1
206827.1
153345.3
Blue81
189532.8
126239.0
108624.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159605015020025015681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#3
52.11.0
47.6→48.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.0
1262
#23
39.00.4
39.8→39.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1533
#5
45.30.7
42.0→42.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.5
1895
#10
32.80.4
33.7→33.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2068
#38
27.11.0
22.6→23.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
1086
#25
24.90.4
25.7→25.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—