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Quarterfinal 4-22014 Virginia Regional
Red170
153345.3
206827.1
236352.1
Blue81
108624.9
189532.8
126239.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199405015020025017081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#3
52.11.2
48.6→49.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.0
1262
#23
39.00.4
39.4→39.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1533
#5
45.30.9
42.7→43.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.5
1895
#10
32.80.4
33.2→32.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2068
#38
27.11.2
23.6→24.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
1086
#25
24.90.4
25.3→24.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—