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Qual 452014 Virginia Regional
Red120
238340.8
393937.3
189532.8
Blue41
53921.1
161028.2
45385.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9241015020025012041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#14
40.81.8
38.8→40.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.6
1610
#42
28.20.7
26.9→26.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3939
#8
37.33.0
29.4→32.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.3
539
#48
21.10.7
18.0→17.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1895
#10
32.83.0
15.7→18.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 26.9
4538
#61
5.90.7
4.5→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—