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Qual 462014 Virginia Regional
Red150
171932.4
38461.1
179320.4
Blue34
298815.6
61915.0
40144.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7747010015020015034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#4
61.16.5
32.9→39.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.5
401
#7
44.61.4
32.1→30.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1719
#12
32.46.5
28.7→35.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.8
2988
#53
15.61.4
9.2→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1793
#32
20.46.5
10.6→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
619
#59
15.01.4
10.1→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—