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Red34
103314.7
240218.6
210621.7
Blue22
61418.0
45385.9
109515.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6540020801001201401603422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#19
21.71.9
23.721.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
614
#33
18.01.7
19.718.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2402
#39
18.61.9
20.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1095
#55
15.11.6
16.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1033
#34
14.72.1
16.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
4538
#61
5.91.6
7.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End