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Qual 902014 Virginia Regional
Red81
496922.5
428621.6
159830.7
Blue35
202816.1
52798.7
238340.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7071204060801001201408135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1598
#11
30.70.7
28.1→28.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.1
2383
#14
40.81.8
40.2→38.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4969
#27
22.50.7
21.8→22.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.4
2028
#40
16.12.6
18.7→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4286
#29
21.60.7
20.8→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
5279
#54
8.72.8
11.5→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—