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Qual 962014 Virginia Regional
Red98
40144.6
190823.8
336114.5
Blue23
330714.5
210721.7
471411.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835001001502009823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#7
44.61.5
42.3→43.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.9
2107
#17
21.72.3
24.0→21.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1908
#18
23.81.5
22.4→23.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.3
3307
#43
14.52.3
16.8→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3361
#51
14.51.5
13.1→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.8
4714
#62
11.72.3
14.0→11.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—