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Quarterfinal 1-12014 Virginia Regional
Red116
260762.9
161028.2
38461.1
Blue51
162954.5
171932.4
113733.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15511905010020025030011651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#1
62.90.6
62.2→61.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.4
1629
#15
54.51.6
55.9→54.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
384
#4
61.10.7
60.2→59.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.5
1137
#20
33.51.6
34.9→33.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1610
#42
28.20.7
27.3→26.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.2
1719
#12
32.41.6
33.8→32.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—