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Semifinal 1-12014 Virginia Regional
Red160
38461.1
161028.2
260762.9
Blue132
205335.7
42229.4
393937.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16188050200250300160132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#1
62.90.2
62.3→62.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 25.5
3939
#8
37.30.7
36.0→36.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
384
#4
61.10.2
60.3→60.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 25.3
2053
#13
35.70.5
34.7→35.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1610
#42
28.20.2
27.4→27.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.2
422
#9
29.40.5
28.4→28.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—