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Quarterfinal 1-22014 Virginia Regional
Red185
161028.2
260762.9
38461.1
Blue131
162954.5
171932.4
113733.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154113050200250300185131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#1
62.90.6
61.6→62.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.4
1629
#15
54.50.3
54.2→54.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
384
#4
61.10.8
59.4→60.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.5
1137
#20
33.50.3
33.3→33.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1610
#42
28.20.8
26.6→27.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.2
1719
#12
32.40.3
32.1→32.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—