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Semifinal 1-22014 Virginia Regional
Red155
260762.9
38461.1
161028.2
Blue128
393937.3
42229.4
205335.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16290050200250300155128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#1
62.90.1
62.4→62.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 25.5
3939
#8
37.30.6
36.7→37.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
384
#4
61.10.1
60.5→60.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 25.3
2053
#13
35.70.5
35.3→35.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1610
#42
28.20.1
27.6→27.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.2
422
#9
29.40.5
28.9→29.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—