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Red51
204656.9
418015.3
32218.5
Blue86
292732.0
445048.7
297624.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85884060801001201405186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#15
56.91.7
53.151.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
48.70.1
40.540.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4180
#34
15.31.7
18.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.8
32.00.1
23.523.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3221
#31
8.51.7
14.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
2976
#10
24.40.1
23.923.8
Auto
Teleop
End