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Red85
290761.5
446120.8
420530.1
Blue171
321927.1
491161.5
339367.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9416505020025030035085171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#20
61.51.0
58.157.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
67.90.8
66.267.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4205
#17
30.11.0
22.821.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.4
61.50.8
63.964.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4461
#19
20.81.0
23.922.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
3219
#23
27.10.8
24.124.9
Auto
Teleop
End