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Red67
366338.2
418015.3
420530.1
Blue17
321816.2
32218.5
368417.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions784301001502006717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.3
31.931.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
3684
#35
17.21.6
21.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4205
#17
30.10.3
28.328.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
3218
#30
16.21.6
16.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4180
#34
15.30.3
12.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
3221
#31
8.51.6
10.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End