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Red68
457925.3
382618.5
304912.4
Blue127
321927.1
378618.9
204656.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5395015020068127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4579
#21
25.30.4
31.131.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.6
2046
#15
56.91.9
54.756.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3826
#36
18.50.4
14.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
3219
#23
27.11.9
21.123.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3049
#25
12.40.4
13.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
3786
#13
18.91.9
12.914.8
Auto
Teleop
End