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Red107
204656.9
430413.4
214722.8
Blue179
357621.0
418015.3
290761.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8884050100150200250107179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#15
56.91.0
54.755.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
2907
#20
61.54.7
57.362.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2147
#27
22.81.0
20.621.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3576
#12
21.04.7
16.321.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4304
#29
13.41.0
12.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4180
#34
15.34.7
11.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End