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Red155
339367.9
420530.1
477217.6
Blue28
323714.4
378618.9
457925.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12054010015020025030015528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.92.2
66.768.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 42.6
4579
#21
25.31.8
27.125.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4205
#17
30.12.2
28.130.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
3786
#13
18.91.8
20.718.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4772
#24
17.62.2
15.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3237
#33
14.41.8
16.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End